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Boojum1
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« Reply #30 on: September 09, 2008, 03:36:28 pm » |
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Ike and Lowell(off southern Baja) might meet over BiBe.
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Pithy quote free for years
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SHANEA
Javelena
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Mountain Lion
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Posts: 9007
Javelina
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« Reply #31 on: September 09, 2008, 05:33:27 pm » |
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That's one heck of a turn - 45 degrees or so?
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Roy
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« Reply #32 on: September 09, 2008, 06:51:46 pm » |
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Wouldn't hurt my feelings if it did that about 12 hrs earlier; other might not feel that way.
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badknees
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« Reply #33 on: September 09, 2008, 07:35:19 pm » |
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Wouldn't hurt my feelings if it did that about 12 hrs earlier; other might not feel that way.
The best dynamical models show a bias to the right. Don't be surprised if the next NHC advisory puts the track farther north...closer to Port O'Conner |
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badknees
Houston- Clear Lake
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Roy
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« Reply #34 on: September 09, 2008, 08:45:30 pm » |
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That's what I'm hoping. Meantime, got the plywood all laid out, most of the packing done. Gas tanks full. Still got lots to do at the office. Room rented in Pearsall. Planning on bugging out Thursday noon, latest. I've sat in evacuation traffic twice; once for Allen, then for Brett. Never again.
Any of ya'll near the coast haven't started, get started. Like now....
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riverrat
Golden Eagle
Black Bear
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« Reply #35 on: September 09, 2008, 09:31:20 pm » |
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Thanks for that link, Richard. It looked fine to me.
Roy, be careful and grab some good backroad maps. That's the only for sure way to beat the evac traffic. We have taken roads thru watermalon fields and dove hunting country (thank God they didn't aim in our direction! I can see how Cheney shot his hunting buddy)...anyway Farm Roads and County Roads do end up going somewhere eventually;)!
Good luck with Ike. There really isn't any good place for him to hit land.
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"It is good to have an end to journey towards, but it is the journey that matters in the end."
Ursula K LeGuin
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RichardM
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« Reply #36 on: September 09, 2008, 10:20:33 pm » |
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I wonder what tomorrow's models will show....
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« Last Edit: September 09, 2008, 10:23:20 pm by RichardM »
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badknees
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« Reply #37 on: September 09, 2008, 10:48:09 pm » |
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I wonder what tomorrow's models will show....
Here is what the GFDL looks like on an fine scale at current landfall prediction point |
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badknees
Houston- Clear Lake
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RichardM
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« Reply #38 on: September 10, 2008, 09:07:24 am » |
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For those wondering what a GFDL model is: GFDL: The NWS/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory model. This model has been the best overall performing model the past three years. An upgrade to the model this spring has produced a 10-12% improvement in track forecasts and a 30% improvement in intensity forecasts when re-run on hurricanes from the 2005 season. The GFDL and HWRF models are the only models that provide specific intensity forecasts of hurricanes. Wunderground.com makes these graphics available on our computer models page. More deatiled GFDL graphics are available at NOAA/NCEP. See the "GHM" model under the heading, Hurricane Graphics. From http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200809_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topad |
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dkerr24
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« Reply #39 on: September 10, 2008, 12:47:52 pm » |
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Guess there is a bright side to any act of nature.
We've already had the wettest Aug on record in Okla City. Looks like thanks to Ike, we'll also set a record for Sept. It was really strange seeing the normally dry Wichita Mountains awash in wildflowers and greenery in August!
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RichardM
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« Reply #40 on: September 10, 2008, 01:09:25 pm » |
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Galveston has issued a voluntary evacuation notice for ares subject to flooding due to predicted high tides. Rumor has it that Johnson Space Center will shut down as a precaution on Friday, but that decision won't be made until tomorrow at the earliest. My wife's ready to hit the road to Austin now. Personally, I don't think we're going to get much more than a bunch of rain around here. If we lived in Freeport, we'd already be outta there.
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SHANEA
Javelena
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Javelina
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« Reply #41 on: September 10, 2008, 02:25:10 pm » |
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SHANEA
Javelena
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Javelina
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« Reply #42 on: September 10, 2008, 02:29:51 pm » |
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This things going to be a monster...
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Boojum1
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« Reply #43 on: September 10, 2008, 02:38:56 pm » |
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TexasAggieHiker
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« Reply #44 on: September 10, 2008, 04:03:42 pm » |
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Now saying a Cat 4 at landfall..........  |
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